Share price
| Item | FY2025 | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 37,184 | 37,911 | 37,531 | 38,523 |
| NOPAT | 2,981 | 3,369 | 3,849 | 4,137 |
| Equity | -8,097 | -7,669 | -7,520 | -7,145 |
| Net debt | 22,898 | 18,240 | 18,694 | 18,894 |
Price vs model value
market cap vs the model’s equity value · r1DCF against the market -51.7% (tolerance 15.0%). the steady state against the discount rate: Market inputs.Terminal growth and Market inputs.Long-run nominal GDP growth (3.8 per cent) at WACC.WACC (8.51 per cent): about 52 per cent below the market, beyond the tolerance. The assumption that causes it is the steady state against the discount rate: at the model's WACC of 8.51 per cent the market's enterprise value implies residual operating income growing about 6.1 per cent a year forever after FY2033, against the 3.8 per cent long-run nominal growth assumed, or, read as a steady state, a WACC near 6.1 per cent. Closing the gap takes a WACC about 2.4 points lower or residual income growing 2.3 points faster than the economy for ever; revenue grew about 5.5 per cent a year over FY2021 to FY2026 and ROIC ra
Residual income against the market -45.9% (tolerance 15.0%). the steady state against the discount rate: Market inputs.Long-run nominal GDP growth (3.8 per cent) at WACC.WACC (8.51 per cent): about 46 per cent below the market, beyond the tolerance, for the same reason as the DCF: the market prices residual operating income growing about 6.1 per cent a year after FY2033 at the model's 8.51 per cent WACC, where the model lets it grow at the 3.8 per cent long-run nominal GDP growth
What if
Moving a driver re-runs the model; that opens shortly. The sliders show the Official’s own values.The model
Open the modelProfit & loss
| USD millions | FY2025 | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit & loss | ||||
| Total net revenues | 37,184 | 37,911 | 37,531 | 38,523 |
| Total operating expenses | 34,496 | 34,514 | 32,758 | 33,371 |
| Income from equity investees | 248 | 295 | 413 | 424 |
| Gain from sale of assets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Operating income | 2,937 | 3,691 | 5,186 | 5,576 |
| Net earnings including noncontrolling interests | 1,857 | 2,526 | 3,657 | 3,934 |
| Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests | 0.30 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Net earnings attributable to Starbucks | 1,856 | 2,527 | 3,657 | 3,934 |
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