Companies Asics

Asics

Ticker7936 · TSE
Fiscal yearends December
Updated3 days ago · r1
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A three-statement model of Asics, the Japanese sports-shoe and apparel group, built on its five product categories and the printed first half of 2026.

Summary by Your Analyst · r1

  • Asics has turned from a running-shoe maker recovering from a 2020 loss into a brand business. Revenue rose from 404,082 JPY millions to 810,916 JPY millions million yen, and the growth came most from the lifestyle lines: SportStyle reached 141,324 JPY millions and Onitsuka Tiger 136,519 JPY millions million yen in FY2025, both selling at higher margins than the performance shoes.
  • The first half of 2026 grew a third on the year, a weak yen included. Carried through the second half on 2025's season, the year in progress lands at 1,080,349 JPY millions million yen of revenue and 217,113 JPY millions of operating income, above the company's revised guidance. With the cost and SG&A ratios held from 2026 and category growth easing, operating income reaches 311,484 JPY millions in FY2031 and the return on invested capital stays near 43.1%.
  • At a beta of 1 and a WACC near 8 per cent, the enterprise DCF gives an equity value of 2,817,995 JPY millions million yen at the snapshot and residual operating income 2,907,430 JPY millions, against a market capitalisation of 3,429,711 JPY millions. The price implies residual income growing 3.1% a year after FY2031, more than the 1.9 per cent the model takes; the gap rests on whether the margin keeps rising after 2026.

Share price

—— today— 1M · — 1YMarket cap — · Net debt -22,343 · Equity 355,866 (JPY millions) · — shares
Market cap · monthlyRevenueNOPATEquityNet debtFY2027E · model
JPY millions-500,0000500,0001,000,0001,500,000modelRevenue FY2024: 678,526 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2024: 65,056 (JPY millions)Equity FY2024: 233,036 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2024: -4,880 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2025: 810,916 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2025: 98,256 (JPY millions)Equity FY2025: 271,519 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2025: -8,618 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2026: 1,080,349 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2026: 149,428 (JPY millions)Equity FY2026: 355,866 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2026: -22,343 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2027E: 1,207,803 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2027E: 165,064 (JPY millions)Equity FY2027E: 406,071 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2027E: -28,247 (JPY millions)FY2024FY2025FY2026FY2027E
Market figures, JPY millions
ItemFY2024FY2025FY2026FY2027E
Revenue678,526810,9161,080,3491,207,803
NOPAT65,05698,256149,428165,064
Equity233,036271,519355,866406,071
Net debt-4,880-8,618-22,343-28,247

Price vs model value

market cap vs the model’s equity value · r1
DCF equity valuelow → highpoint = baseEquity value, JPY tnat FY2026¥2.19tn¥3.49tn¥2.82tnResidual income e…Residual income equity valuelow → highpoint = base¥2.24tn¥3.62tn¥2.91tnmarket cap ¥3.43tn¥1tn¥2tn¥3tn¥4tn

DCF to market gap -17.8% (tolerance 15.0%). the operating margin held at the year in progress's level from FY2027 (Profit and Loss: the Cost of sales ratio and the Selling and administrative expense ratio, given at FY2027 and carried): The DCF sits about 18 per cent below the market capitalisation. Core NOPAT about a fifth higher in every forecast year, an SG&A ratio about 4 points lower from FY2027 (33 per cent against 37), closes it. The market prices in residual operating income growing 3.1 per cent a year after FY2031 against the model's 1.9, or a steady-state WACC of 6.3 per cent against 8.0; revenue grew 19.8 per cent a year over FY2020-FY2025 and ROIC ran 14 to 43 per cent over FY2022-FY2025. FY2031 revenue growth, 4.0 per cent, sits 2.1 points above g.

RI to market gap -15.2% (tolerance 15.0%). the same operating margin held at the year in progress's level from FY2027 (the Cost of sales ratio and the Selling and administrative expense ratio): Residual income sits about 15 per cent below the market capitalisation, just past the tolerance. Core NOPAT about a sixth higher in every forecast year, an SG&A ratio 3 to 4 points lower from FY2027, closes it. The market prices in residual operating income growing 3.1 per cent a year after FY2031 against the model's 1.9; its continuing value at GDP growth keeps it about 3 per cent above the DCF.

What if

Moving a driver re-runs the model; that opens shortly. The sliders show the Official’s own values.
FY2027 Operating income · JPY millions
SG&A ratio from FY2027SG&A as a share of revenue, held from FY2027
DownsideBaseUpside
37.3%
Cost of sales ratio from FY2027Cost of sales as a share of revenue, held from FY2027
DownsideBaseUpside
42.6%
Performance Running growth FY2027Performance Running revenue growth factor in FY2027
DownsideBaseUpside
108.0%
SportStyle growth FY2027SportStyle revenue growth factor in FY2027
DownsideBaseUpside
120.0%
Onitsuka Tiger growth FY2027Onitsuka Tiger revenue growth factor in FY2027
DownsideBaseUpside
114.0%

The model

Open the model
✓ All checks pass
Profit & loss
Revenue 1,207,803;Operating income 242,768.Revenue: 1,207,8031,207,803RevenueCost of sales: 514,524514,524Cost ofsalesReversal of provision for sales returns: 0.000.00Reversalof prov…Provision for sales returns charged: 0.000.00Provisi…for sal…Gross profit: 693,279693,279GrossprofitSelling and administrative expenses: 450,510450,510Sellingand adm…Operating income: 242,768242,768Operati…income
JPY millionsFY2024FY2025FY2026FY2027E
Profit & loss
Revenue678,526810,9161,080,3491,207,803
Cost of sales299,648350,283460,299514,524
Reversal of provision for sales returns0.000.000.000.00
Provision for sales returns charged0.000.000.000.00
Gross profit378,878460,632620,050693,279
Selling and administrative expenses278,766318,112402,937450,510
Operating income100,111142,519217,113242,768
Profit attributable to owners of parent63,80698,719148,008167,350
Read-only · Your Analyst · r1Reported FY2024–FY2026 · Forecast FY2027E · All years

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