Share price
| Item | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | FY2027E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 678,526 | 810,916 | 1,080,349 | 1,207,803 |
| NOPAT | 65,056 | 98,256 | 149,428 | 165,064 |
| Equity | 233,036 | 271,519 | 355,866 | 406,071 |
| Net debt | -4,880 | -8,618 | -22,343 | -28,247 |
Price vs model value
market cap vs the model’s equity value · r1DCF to market gap -17.8% (tolerance 15.0%). the operating margin held at the year in progress's level from FY2027 (Profit and Loss: the Cost of sales ratio and the Selling and administrative expense ratio, given at FY2027 and carried): The DCF sits about 18 per cent below the market capitalisation. Core NOPAT about a fifth higher in every forecast year, an SG&A ratio about 4 points lower from FY2027 (33 per cent against 37), closes it. The market prices in residual operating income growing 3.1 per cent a year after FY2031 against the model's 1.9, or a steady-state WACC of 6.3 per cent against 8.0; revenue grew 19.8 per cent a year over FY2020-FY2025 and ROIC ran 14 to 43 per cent over FY2022-FY2025. FY2031 revenue growth, 4.0 per cent, sits 2.1 points above g.
RI to market gap -15.2% (tolerance 15.0%). the same operating margin held at the year in progress's level from FY2027 (the Cost of sales ratio and the Selling and administrative expense ratio): Residual income sits about 15 per cent below the market capitalisation, just past the tolerance. Core NOPAT about a sixth higher in every forecast year, an SG&A ratio 3 to 4 points lower from FY2027, closes it. The market prices in residual operating income growing 3.1 per cent a year after FY2031 against the model's 1.9; its continuing value at GDP growth keeps it about 3 per cent above the DCF.
What if
Moving a driver re-runs the model; that opens shortly. The sliders show the Official’s own values.The model
Open the modelProfit & loss
| JPY millions | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | FY2027E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit & loss | ||||
| Revenue | 678,526 | 810,916 | 1,080,349 | 1,207,803 |
| Cost of sales | 299,648 | 350,283 | 460,299 | 514,524 |
| Reversal of provision for sales returns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Provision for sales returns charged | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gross profit | 378,878 | 460,632 | 620,050 | 693,279 |
| Selling and administrative expenses | 278,766 | 318,112 | 402,937 | 450,510 |
| Operating income | 100,111 | 142,519 | 217,113 | 242,768 |
| Profit attributable to owners of parent | 63,806 | 98,719 | 148,008 | 167,350 |
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