Share price
| Item | FY2025 | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 779,707 | 1,128,610 | 1,810,625 | 2,147,511 |
| NOPAT | 173,537 | 345,053 | 678,753 | 804,468 |
| Equity | 506,539 | 795,726 | 1,207,515 | 1,463,700 |
| Net debt | -151,427 | -299,552 | -267,162 | -426,093 |
Price vs model value
market cap vs the model’s equity value · r1DCF against the market -54.1% (tolerance 15.0%). the steady state after FY2035: the core operating margin fading to the five actual years' through-cycle level (Through-cycle margins, Fade drivers) and growth at Japan's long-run nominal GDP growth (M: the gap, about -54 per cent, sits in the steady state: the model fades the core operating margin from FY2032's 54 per cent to the five actual years' through-cycle 33 per cent by FY2035 and grows the business at 1.9 per cent after it; at the model's WACC of 8.0 per cent the market prices in residual operating income growing about 6.1 per cent a year forever after FY2035 (Market-implied growth), or, read as a steady state from FY2028, a WACC of about 4.9 per cent (Market-implied WACC); either closes the gap. Revenue grew about 28 per cent a year from FY2022 to FY2026 (416.9 to 1,128.6 billion ye
Residual income against the market -53.9% (tolerance 15.0%). the same steady state: residual operating income after FY2035 growing at Japan's long-run nominal GDP growth (Market inputs.Long-run nominal GDP growth) on margins faded to the through-cycle level: the gap, about -54 per cent, has the DCF's cause: the residual income stands on the same forecasts and invested capital, so the market's 6.1 per cent growth of residual operating income after FY2035 against the model's 1.9 (Market-implied growth), or a 4.9 per cent WACC in steady state (Market-implied WACC), closes it; the two methods differ by 0.4 per cent, their continuing values' steady states
What if
Moving a driver re-runs the model; that opens shortly. The sliders show the Official’s own values.The model
Open the modelProfit & loss
| JPY millions | FY2025 | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit & loss | ||||
| Revenue | 779,707 | 1,128,610 | 1,810,625 | 2,147,511 |
| Cost of sales | 334,622 | 402,503 | 535,180 | 635,663 |
| Gross profit | 445,085 | 726,107 | 1,275,445 | 1,511,848 |
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | 195,392 | 229,628 | 298,822 | 354,339 |
| Other income | 1,366 | 3,552 | 1,120 | 0.00 |
| Other expenses | 22,898 | 911 | 199 | 0.00 |
| Operating income | 228,161 | 499,120 | 977,545 | 1,157,508 |
| Net income | 161,177 | 375,353 | 743,204 | 833,116 |
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