Companies GS Yuasa

GS Yuasa

Ticker6674 · TSE
Fiscal yearends March
Updated3 days ago · r1
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GS Yuasa, a Japanese maker of lead-acid and lithium-ion batteries and power supply systems, valued by enterprise DCF and by residual operating income at one common discount rate.

Summary by Your Analyst · r1

  • GS Yuasa makes lead-acid batteries for cars, industry and infrastructure, passing the cost of lead into its prices, and is building lithium-ion batteries for infrastructure and defence. Revenue rose from 432,133 JPY millions in FY2022 to 608,995 JPY millions in FY2026, and the core operating margin from 5.2% to 9.6%.
  • The seventh plan spends 75,000 JPY millions a year on new plants, about twice depreciation, so the return on invested capital falls from 13.1% in FY2027 to 10.1% in FY2030. After the plans, growth fades towards the economy's and the return holds near 10.7%, a little above the return assumed on new capital.
  • At one discount rate for every company, beta 1 and a WACC of 7.6%, the enterprise DCF values the equity at 657,711 JPY millions against a market capitalisation of 465,080 JPY millions. The market's price implies a steady-state WACC of 10.1%; at the industry's bottom-up beta the same forecast lands within a few per cent of the market.

Share price

—— today— 1M · — 1YMarket cap — · Net debt 26,722 · Equity 426,990 (JPY millions) · — shares
Market cap · monthlyRevenueNOPATEquityNet debtFY2028E · model
JPY millions-200,0000200,000400,000600,000800,000modelRevenue FY2025: 580,340 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2025: 33,012 (JPY millions)Equity FY2025: 347,045 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2025: 2,830 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2026: 608,995 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2026: 42,282 (JPY millions)Equity FY2026: 394,663 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2026: -4,056 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2027: 675,014 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2027: 46,760 (JPY millions)Equity FY2027: 426,990 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2027: 26,722 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2028E: 694,590 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2028E: 48,116 (JPY millions)Equity FY2028E: 459,180 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2028E: 36,679 (JPY millions)FY2025FY2026FY2027FY2028E
Market figures, JPY millions
ItemFY2025FY2026FY2027FY2028E
Revenue580,340608,995675,014694,590
NOPAT33,01242,28246,76048,116
Equity347,045394,663426,990459,180
Net debt2,830-4,05626,72236,679

Price vs model value

market cap vs the model’s equity value · r1
DCF equity valuelow → highpoint = baseEquity value, JPY bnat FY2027¥594bn¥633bn¥658bnResidual income e…Residual income equity valuelow → highpoint = base¥599bn¥638bn¥664bnmarket cap ¥465bn¥400bn¥500bn¥600bn¥700bn¥800bn

DCF against the market 41.4% (tolerance 15.0%). the discount rate: beta 1 for every company (Valuation, Cost of equity, Beta), a cost of equity of 7.96 per cent and a WACC of 7.60: The DCF stands 41.4 per cent above the market capitalisation (657,711 against 465,080); the market's price implies a steady-state WACC of 10.11 per cent. At the bottom-up beta of 1.39, a WACC of 9.50 per cent, the same forecast values the equity at 476,748, 2.5 per cent above the market (evaluated on 4 November with that beta, then set back to 1): the 1.9 points of WACC move the DCF by 180,963, 28 per cent of its value, and a WACC a little above 9.5 per cent closes the gap.

Residual income against the market 42.7% (tolerance 15.0%). the same discount rate as the DCF's gap: the WACC of 7.60 per cent at beta 1: Residual income stands 42.7 per cent above the market capitalisation (663,699 against 465,080). At the bottom-up beta's WACC of 9.50 per cent the same forecast values the equity at 480,419, 3.3 per cent above the market (evaluated on 4 November with that beta, then set back to 1), so a WACC a little above 9.5 per cent closes it. At the model's WACC the market's value leaves a continuing value of minus 62,959 at FY2035 against the model's 305,515.

What if

Moving a driver re-runs the model; that opens shortly. The sliders show the Official’s own values.
FY2028 Operating income · JPY millions
Revenue growth factorRevenue growth factor in FY2028 (1 + growth)
DownsideBaseUpside
102.9%
Capital expenditureCapital expenditure in FY2028
DownsideBaseUpside
75,000JPY millions
Return on new invested capitalReturn on new capital after the horizon
DownsideBaseUpside
10.0%
Terminal growthGrowth after the horizon (DCF)
DownsideBaseUpside
1.9%
Long-run nominal GDP growthGrowth after the horizon (residual income)
DownsideBaseUpside
1.9%

The model

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Profit & loss
Revenue 694,590;Operating income 68,477.Revenue: 694,590694,590RevenueCost of sales: 524,163524,163Cost ofsalesGross profit: 170,426170,426Gross profitSelling and administrative expenses: 101,949101,949Selling andadministrat…Operating income: 68,47768,477Operatingincome
JPY millionsFY2025FY2026FY2027FY2028E
Profit & loss
Revenue580,340608,995675,014694,590
Cost of sales440,859453,946509,391524,163
Gross profit139,481155,048165,623170,426
Selling and administrative expenses89,45294,87599,076101,949
Operating income50,02860,17266,54768,477
Ordinary income46,34558,22965,52866,838
Profit before tax46,94062,54565,52866,838
Profit attributable to owners of the parent30,41641,86341,69542,528
Read-only · Your Analyst · r1Reported FY2025–FY2027 · Forecast FY2028E · All years

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