Companies Hitachi

Hitachi

Ticker6501 · TSE
Fiscal yearends March
Updated3 days ago · r1
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A three-statement model of Hitachi, now mostly a power grid, digital services and rail business.

Summary by Your Analyst · r1

  • Hitachi now earns mostly from power grids, digital services and rail. Revenue was 10,586,781 JPY millions in FY2026, and the model puts the year in progress at 12,436,010 JPY millions from its printed first half, Energy growing fastest. Customers pay ahead on grid and rail orders: their advances, the contract liabilities, stood at 3,054,661 JPY millions at the end of FY2026.
  • Those advances keep the capital the operations tie up small, 5,285,914 JPY millions of invested capital at the end of the year in progress, and leave the group with a net cash (-747,058 JPY millions as net debt). Core NOPAT over the opening invested capital goes from 13.6% in FY2026 to 20.5% at the horizon as revenue keeps growing on a steady core margin.
  • At the market-average required return, the enterprise DCF puts the equity at 16,099,687 JPY millions and residual operating income at 17,044,025 JPY millions at the 2 November 2026 snapshot, against a market capitalisation of 22,085,101 JPY millions. At the model's cost of capital the price needs residual operating income to grow 4.2% a year after FY2032, against Japan's long-run nominal growth.

Share price

—— today— 1M · — 1YMarket cap — · Net debt -747,058 · Equity 6,680,196 (JPY millions) · — shares
Market cap · monthlyRevenueNOPATEquityNet debtFY2028E · model
JPY millions-5,000,00005,000,00010,000,00015,000,000modelRevenue FY2025: 9,783,370 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2025: 575,865 (JPY millions)Equity FY2025: 5,847,091 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2025: 268,950 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2026: 10,586,781 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2026: 693,939 (JPY millions)Equity FY2026: 6,568,369 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2026: -434,072 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2027: 12,436,010 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2027: 960,090 (JPY millions)Equity FY2027: 6,680,196 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2027: -747,058 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2028E: 13,134,948 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2028E: 1,011,292 (JPY millions)Equity FY2028E: 6,834,700 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2028E: -729,434 (JPY millions)FY2025FY2026FY2027FY2028E
Market figures, JPY millions
ItemFY2025FY2026FY2027FY2028E
Revenue9,783,37010,586,78112,436,01013,134,948
NOPAT575,865693,939960,0901,011,292
Equity5,847,0916,568,3696,680,1966,834,700
Net debt268,950-434,072-747,058-729,434

Price vs model value

market cap vs the model’s equity value · r1
DCF equity value…DCF equity value at the snapshotlow → highpoint = baseEquity value, JPY tnat FY2027¥15.5tn¥16.7tn¥16.1tnResidual income e…Residual income equity value at the snapshotlow → highpoint = base¥16.4tn¥17.7tn¥17.0tnmarket cap ¥22.1tn¥10tn¥15tn¥20tn¥25tn

DCF to market -27.1% (tolerance 15.0%). the cost of capital (WACC, Valuation/WACC), set at the market-average required return with beta 1, against the steady state the price implies: DCF 27.1 per cent below the market: 16.10 trillion yen at the snapshot against a market capitalisation of 22.09 trillion; the market's enterprise value at the valuation date, 21.41 trillion, is 1.41 times the DCF's 15.23 trillion. Read as a steady state from FY2028 at the model's g of 1.9 per cent and RONIC of 12 per cent, the market's enterprise value implies a WACC of 5.88 per cent (Market-implied WACC) against the model's 8.17 per cent (the 2.817 per cent JGB yield plus Damodaran's 5.14 per cent premium): a WACC near 5.9 per cent closes the gap, 2.3 points below the yardstick. At the model'

Residual income to market -22.8% (tolerance 15.0%). the growth of residual operating income after the horizon (Market inputs/Long-run nominal GDP growth, 1.9 per cent): Residual income 22.8 per cent below the market: 17.04 trillion yen at the snapshot against 22.09 trillion. The continuing value lets the horizon's residual operating income, 753bn in FY2032, grow at the long-run nominal GDP growth of 1.9 per cent; the market's enterprise value at the model's 8.17 per cent WACC needs it to grow 4.23 per cent a year forever after FY2032 (Market-implied growth), and that growth in place of the GDP growth closes the gap. It is 2.3 points above Japan's nominal growth and below the forecast's own revenue growth at the horizon (4.5 per cent in FY2032), against revenu

What if

Moving a driver re-runs the model; that opens shortly. The sliders show the Official’s own values.
FY2028 Core operating profit · JPY millions
Energy revenue growth factorEnergy revenue, this year over last, FY2028
DownsideBaseUpside
110.0%
Digital Systems and Services revenue growth factorDigital Systems and Services revenue, this year over last, FY2028
DownsideBaseUpside
107.0%
Mobility revenue growth factorMobility revenue, this year over last, FY2028
DownsideBaseUpside
106.0%
Connective Industries revenue growth factorConnective Industries revenue, this year over last, FY2028
DownsideBaseUpside
100.0%

The model

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Profit & loss
Revenue 13,134,948;Gross profit 4,000,580.Revenue: 13,134,94813,134,948RevenueCost of sales: 9,134,3679,134,367Cost of salesGross profit: 4,000,5804,000,580Gross profit
JPY millionsFY2025FY2026FY2027FY2028E
Profit & loss
Revenue9,783,37010,586,78112,436,01013,134,948
Cost of sales6,962,5277,407,2528,644,5019,134,367
Gross profit2,820,8433,179,5293,791,5084,000,580
Selling, general and administrative expenses1,849,2371,980,2542,260,5622,387,612
Other income49,665133,5203,6233,827
Other expenses143,023200,802131,398138,783
Financial income53,944106,81123,9600.00
Financial expenses12,9058,87136,0990.00
Read-only · Your Analyst · r1Reported FY2025–FY2027 · Forecast FY2028E · All years

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