Companies Food & Life Companies

Food & Life Companies

Ticker3563 · TSE
Fiscal yearends September
Updated3 days ago · r1
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Food & Life Companies runs the Sushiro conveyor-belt sushi chain in Japan and across Asia, with smaller takeout and izakaya businesses.

Summary by Your Analyst · r1

  • Food & Life Companies earns most of its revenue from Sushiro, a conveyor-belt sushi chain in Japan and, increasingly, across Asia. Group revenue grew from 240,804 JPY millions in the pandemic year to 429,574 JPY millions in the last full reported year, and the overseas Sushiro restaurants rose from 85.00 to 334. The Japanese estate adds about a dozen restaurants a year and has grown mainly through higher sales per restaurant, most of it from price rises.
  • Margins recovered as prices rose and the overseas restaurants matured. The core operating margin went from 4.6% to 8.5%, and the return on invested capital, with leased restaurants counted as capital, from 4.6% to 10.8%. The takeout chain Kyotaru was sold in the year in progress, and the group's lease liabilities and borrowings still exceed its cash.
  • The forecast keeps opening about a hundred restaurants a year abroad at the year in progress's sales per restaurant, with Japan's sales per restaurant rising slowly, so revenue reaches 979,555 JPY millions and core NOPAT 69,213 JPY millions at the horizon. At the market-average required return, the enterprise DCF puts the equity at 663,542 JPY millions against a market capitalisation of 1,319,981 JPY millions. Residual operating income lands within the tolerance of the DCF; the gap to the market comes from the steady state assumed after the horizon, where the price needs residual operating income to keep growing well above the economy.

Share price

—— today— 1M · — 1YMarket cap — · Net debt 145,685 · Equity 130,019 (JPY millions) · — shares
Market cap · monthlyRevenueNOPATEquityNet debtFY2027E · model
JPY millions0200,000400,000600,000800,000modelRevenue FY2024: 361,129 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2024: 18,579 (JPY millions)Equity FY2024: 76,568 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2024: 168,189 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2025: 429,574 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2025: 26,520 (JPY millions)Equity FY2025: 97,869 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2025: 159,838 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2026: 535,745 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2026: 38,091 (JPY millions)Equity FY2026: 130,019 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2026: 145,685 (JPY millions)Revenue FY2027E: 609,505 (JPY millions)NOPAT FY2027E: 43,066 (JPY millions)Equity FY2027E: 164,664 (JPY millions)Net debt FY2027E: 139,431 (JPY millions)FY2024FY2025FY2026FY2027E
Market figures, JPY millions
ItemFY2024FY2025FY2026FY2027E
Revenue361,129429,574535,745609,505
NOPAT18,57926,52038,09143,066
Equity76,56897,869130,019164,664
Net debt168,189159,838145,685139,431

Price vs model value

market cap vs the model’s equity value · r1
Enterprise DCFlow → highpoint = baseEquity value, JPY tnat FY2026¥0.271tn¥1.06tn¥0.664tnResidual operatin…Residual operating incomelow → highpoint = base¥0.280tn¥1.24tn¥0.758tnmarket cap ¥1.32tn0¥0.5tn¥1.0tn¥1.5tn¥2.0tn

DCF against the market -49.7% (tolerance 15.0%). the steady state after FY2031: terminal growth (Market inputs, Terminal growth, 1.9 per cent) and RONIC (Market inputs, RONIC, 10 per cent), with the five-year horizon: the DCF's equity value over the market capitalisation, less one. About 50 per cent below the market: the steady state after FY2031 (terminal growth 1.9 per cent, RONIC 10 per cent) and the five-year horizon cause it. The market's enterprise value of about 1.47 trillion yen implies residual operating income growing about 4.6 per cent a year forever after FY2031 at the model's 7.27 per cent WACC, or, read as a steady state from FY2027, a WACC of about 4.3 per cent. Revenue grew 15.6 per cent a year over FY2021 to FY2025 while ROIC ran 4.6 to 10.8 per cent; the forecast grows it 13 per cent a yea

Residual income against the market -42.6% (tolerance 15.0%). residual operating income's continuing value: FY2031's residual operating income growing at the long-run nominal GDP growth (Market inputs, Long-run nominal GDP growth, 1.9 per cent): the residual-income equity value over the market capitalisation, less one. About 43 per cent below the market: residual operating income's continuing value, FY2031's residual income growing at 1.9 per cent, causes it. The operations value is invested capital of about 281 billion yen, residual operating income of 23 to 38 billion yen a year to FY2031 and that continuing value; the market's price needs the residual income to grow about 4.6 per cent a year after FY2031 instead (the market-implied growth row), against revenue growth of 15.6 per cent a year over FY2021 to FY2025 and ROIC of 4.6 to

What if

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FY2027 Operating profit · JPY millions
Overseas restaurants opened a year, netOverseas net openings a year
DownsideBaseUpside
100count
Overseas sales per restaurant, growth factorOverseas sales per restaurant, yearly factor
DownsideBaseUpside
100.0%
Domestic sales per restaurant, growth factorDomestic sales per restaurant, yearly factor
DownsideBaseUpside
103.0%
SG&A ratioSG&A as a share of revenue
DownsideBaseUpside
47.0%
Cost ratioCost of sales as a share of revenue
DownsideBaseUpside
43.2%

The model

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Profit & loss
P&L, FY2027E · model · JPY millions
Revenue609,505
Cost of sales263,306
Gross profit346,199
Selling, general and administrative expenses286,467
Other income2,845
Other expenses1,358
Operating profit61,219
Profit attributable to owners of the parent39,881
JPY millionsFY2024FY2025FY2026FY2027E
Profit & loss
Revenue361,129429,574535,745609,505
Cost of sales155,796184,567231,768263,306
Gross profit205,334245,007303,977346,199
Selling, general and administrative expenses179,848208,629251,726286,467
Other income1,0841,1922,5012,845
Other expenses3,1861,4781,1941,358
Operating profit23,38436,09353,55961,219
Profit attributable to owners of the parent14,63322,93736,11439,881
Read-only · Your Analyst · r1Reported FY2024–FY2026 · Forecast FY2027E · All years

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